Sunday’s racing suggestions:
16:00 Ffos Las – Private Greatest
16:30 Cartmel – Riaan
16:50 Curragh – Westminster Moon
17:55 Curragh – Frequent Follow
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
High weight Miss Alpilles was disqualified for her rider failing to weigh in after ending strongly in an prolonged 1m 4f handicap at Chester final month, and off the identical mark, she must be a participant regardless of her welter burden.
Nonetheless, the race to have a look at when dissecting this staying occasion is the Sandown Park success of Synergism when the Sir Mark Prescott cost beat my choice Private Greatest by a size and a half.
PERSONAL BEST is now 4lbs higher off for that defeat, however two different elements have to come back into play when assessing this race.
Firstly, Prescott’s annual set of progressive expenses despatched up markedly in journey are often over guess of their subsequent races, and though lots of them do full a string of wins, the cat has been out of that bag for a few years.
Secondly, the choice had removed from a transparent run up the stiff Esher climb that day, and his run can clearly be marked up on that entrance. He’s taken to reverse the shape right here if managing to safe a clearer run down the house stretch.
One in every of two invaluable prizes up for grabs on the picturesque Cumbrian observe, this prolonged 2m5f handicap chase doesn’t have an terrible lot of power in depth to it.
High weight Tommy Beau has an amazing document of 11212 at this specialist’s observe, however has by no means gained over this distance. A mark of 140 is way from inhibitive, although, and I make him the largest hazard to the choice.
The Irish raider, RIAAN, was at all times marking time over hurdles, a sphere wherein he was rated as excessive as 135 when pulled up within the 2023 Coral Hurdle on the Cheltenham Competition.
A straightforward winner of his first chase at Wexford, you could possibly readily argue that the now eight-year-old has by no means fairly fulfilled the promise of that success, regardless of working effectively in two successive renewals of the O’Driscolls Irish Whiskey Handicap Chase at Leopardstown.
Nonetheless, he confirmed in my eyes that this intermediate journey is his finest arrange when a four-length second of 14 behind the good James Du Berlais within the Colm Quinn BMW Handicap Chase at Punchestown.
This appears to be like a extremely aggressive 12 furlong handicap for the extent and may see loads of betting swings throughout the morning.
The plain play might be Cloud Seeker, who returns to this journey following making throughout a mile and 1 / 4 at Leopardstown final month, and following that success up when simply failing to get again up additionally over 10 furlongs right here on the Curragh.
He was headed by Apercu a furlong and a half out earlier than a final 100-yard rally took him very near a second win.
If these two laborious races haven’t taken an excessive amount of out of the bay gelding, then he has to come back into the equation right here. Andrew Slattery’s runner is one in all a number of entries that wish to race on the sharp finish, so this must be a really strong take a look at of stamina on the journey.
That is likely one of the the reason why I’m going out on a limb right here with a reasonably big-priced runner. WESTMINSTER MOON, the son of Sea The Moon, was again in 18th place within the above race. Nonetheless, the sector didn’t go that fast till three and a half furlongs out, from which level they sprinted to the road. This meant racing within the rear; he was at a big drawback.
The choice is considerably higher off on the weights, however simply as essential is the probability that this race will probably be run in a really completely different trend.
One other large subject handicap wherein Aidan O’Brien (London Metropolis), Japanese Legend (Jim Bolger), and Gentleman Joe (Henry de Bromhead) might all have a say on the prime of the handicap.
Of that trio, the second-named could possibly be essentially the most attention-grabbing on the costs, having probably not made his mark over hurdles within the 2024/5 season regardless of having been given some very robust duties by his shrewd coach within the highest class novice hurdles. Henry de Bromhead just isn’t one to over-face his younger horses, although, and this return to the extent of a score of 97 appears to be like a good shout.
Nonetheless, in receipt of loads of weight from these on the prime of the handicap, Joseph O’Brien’s cost, COMMON PRACTICE, could possibly be the play.
He regarded greater than a shade unfortunate when third of 20 behind Robbie’s Rock over 1m 6f on the again finish of final month when he was hampered shut house. That is admittedly a deeper race, however the further yardage will certainly be in his favour off a 2lbs increased mark.
Sunday’s racing suggestions
16:00 Ffos Las – Private Greatest
16:30 Cartmel – Riaan
16:50 Curragh – Westminster Moon
17:55 Curragh – Frequent Follow
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to vary.
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