How will we earn a living betting on the $500,000 Jim Dandy Stakes (G2) with Sovereignty sitting there as an awesome favourite in opposition to solely 4 rivals?
The reply: we unfold the motion right into a multi-race play. Extra on that in a second, after we take a peek on the Jim Dandy for 3-year-olds, Saturday’s essential occasion at Saratoga.
Sovereignty is well-known to sports activities followers after his wins within the Kentucky Derby (G1) and the Belmont Stakes (G1). He’s the undisputed chief of this crop of sophomores and the Jim Dandy is merely a tune-up for the $1.25 million Travers Stakes (G1) on Aug. 23, the highest attraction of the Saratoga meet.
Remember, it’s nonetheless a race and something can, and has, occurred on the observe generally known as the “Graveyard of Favorites.”
Corridor of Famer Invoice Mott, Sovereignty’s coach, acknowledges as a lot.
“We hope he has a great race and has slightly luck. Something can occur,” Mott stated. “They’ve obtained to go round there, and it’s not over till these blinking lights say ‘official.’ They’ve obtained to hold these numbers up and say official.”
True sufficient, however it will be a considerable upset if a quantity aside from Sovereignty’s #5 is posted within the win place.
He’s the 2-5 favourite, which means there will probably be little worth betting Sovereignty to win, place or present…until you propose to make a giant funding to chase a really small return.
Baeza, third within the Derby and Belmont to Sovereignty, is 3-1; Sandman is 6-1, Mo Plex is 10-1, and Hill Highway is 12-1.
Wager the Jim Dandy utilizing a Decide 3 technique
Right here’s the place the Decide 3 comes into play. The Jim Dandy is the tenth race on the cardboard. We are able to assemble a Decide-3 ticket on races 9, 10 and 11 with Sovereignty our “single,” which means he’s our solely play within the tenth.
The worth technique presents within the different two legs.
The ninth race is the Lake George Stakes (G3) for 3-year-old fillies on the turf with Traditional Q the 2-1 morning-line favourite.
Traditional Q scored her first stakes victory final day trip in Saratoga’s Wild Applause Stakes with a front-running effort. She may face a stiffer take a look at this time if she tries to make use of those self same ways.
The Chad Brown-trained duo of Play With Hearth (4-1) and Lavender Catastrophe (5-2) completed second and third respectively within the Wild Applause and once more loom as the highest challengers. For added worth, let’s embody Fairly Lavish (12-1) within the combine who has run second in each the Hilltop Stakes at Pimlico and the Boiling Springs at Monmouth Park.
Then comes the Jim Dandy and we leap forward to the eleventh race, a maiden race for New York-bred fillies on the grass.
Whats up Magnificence is the 5-2 favourite based mostly on a close to miss most just lately at Churchill Downs. A pleasant effort, however hardly an intimidating one.
Off Script (9-2) makes her turf debut in her return from Indiana. She turned in a few good efforts on the primary observe right here final summer time.
Sassetti (10-1) presents intriguing worth after a trouble-filled journey final day trip at Aqueduct.
Submit time for the Jim Dandy is 5:41 p.m. ET.
So now it’s time to place all of it collectively.
For many who guess horse racing … the $1 Decide 3 alternatives
Race 9: #5 Traditional Q/#10 Play With Hearth/#4 Lavender Catastrophe/#2 Fairly Lavish
Race 10: #5 Sovereignty
Race 11: #9 Whats up Magnificence/#3 Off Script/#2 Sassetti
TOTAL INVESTMENT: $12
The sector for the $500,000 Jim Dandy Stakes (G2), from the rail out, with jockey, coach, odds:
1 Baeza (Hector Berrios, John Shirreffs), 3-1
2 Sandman (Jose Ortiz, Mark Casse), 6-1
3 Mo Plex (Manny Franco, Jeremiah Englehart), 10-1
4 Hill Highway (Irad Ortiz, Jr., Chad Brown), 12-1
5 Sovereignty (Junior Alvarado, Invoice Mott), 2-5
The writing group at US Racing is comprised of each full-time and part-time contributors with experience in varied elements of the Sport of Kings.
