Jun 11, 2025; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indiana Pacers guard Tyrese Haliburton (0) celebrates together with his bench through the fourth quarter towards the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder in sport three of the 2025 NBA Finals at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Obligatory Credit score: Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Photos Whether or not you’re a fan of the Thunder or Pacers, looking for the very best NBA Finals bets for Recreation 5 has been a problem. That’s why I’m taking a barely totally different method for Monday, June 16.
I’ve cut up this checklist into two sections — one for these backing the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder and one for bettors using with the Indiana Pacers.
Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder: Greatest Bets for Recreation 5
Thunder -9.5
Oklahoma Metropolis has been the NBA’s greatest house staff this season, going 35-6 through the common season with a median margin of victory of 16.5 factors. Within the playoffs, they’re 9-2 at house, successful by a median of greater than 26 factors. A few blowouts have inflated that quantity, however one factor is obvious:
The Thunder are at their most dominant on house courtroom.
In the course of the Western Convention finals, OKC received its house video games by a median of 18 factors. And of their one house win over Indiana on this collection, the Thunder cruised to a 16-point victory — completely in keeping with their regular-season development.
Count on one other double-digit win as they cowl the unfold.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 34.5 Factors (-108)
The MVP averaged 32.7 factors per sport through the common season and 30.4 through the playoffs. If the Thunder are going to take management of the collection, SGA should paved the way on their house ground.
He dropped 38 factors in Recreation 1 — and OKC nonetheless misplaced.
That simply proves he can’t do it alone. Jalen Williams or Chet Holmgren should step up, too. But when Gilgeous-Alexander doesn’t have a monster sport, the Thunder could possibly be headed again to Indianapolis trailing 3-2.
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Indiana Pacers: Greatest Bets for Recreation 5
Pacers Moneyline
After OKC’s livid fourth-quarter comeback in Recreation 4 to tie the collection 2-2, many have written the Pacers off. However right here’s the truth: Indiana has not trailed on this collection till that late collapse.
The Pacers can completely steal Recreation 5.
The important thing? Limiting errors — particularly turnovers and pointless fouls. Of their two losses, Indiana was outscored on the free-throw line by 10 and 9 factors, respectively. Once they keep disciplined, they’ll match up with anybody on each ends of the courtroom — together with the Thunder.
A cautious bettor would possibly take the factors, realizing OKC’s double-digit house wins are a development. However for those who consider the Pacers will get it achieved, why not take them to win outright?
Tyrese Haliburton OVER 30.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-112)
Indiana doesn’t depend on a single 30-point scorer to compete — however they do want a robust all-around effort from Haliburton.
He almost posted a triple-double in Recreation 3 and put up a 14-10-6 stat line in Recreation 1. He hit 33-plus mixed factors, assists and rebounds in all 4 wins towards the Knicks within the earlier spherical. However in Recreation 4 towards OKC, he tallied simply 18 factors with two rebounds and 7 assists — not almost sufficient.
If the Pacers are going to tug off the upset in Recreation 5, Haliburton will want a full, stat-sheet-stuffing efficiency.
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