Welcome to Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners, the place to go for weekend greatest bets and spot performs from veteran handicapper and tournament-play pioneer Noel Michaels. Test again each week for a few highlighted picks designed that can assist you money a number of bets and make some cash. Noel’s picks have been featured nearly in every single place horse racing picks will be discovered, together with in print within the Every day Racing Type, The HorsePlayer Journal and American Turf Month-to-month, on-line at DRF.com, Twinspires.com and USRacing.com, from the paddock on-track at Arlington Worldwide Racecourse, and on the air on HRTV, TVG, NYC OTB Additional, NYRA’s Speaking Horses, and on broadcast TV on WAVE-3 Louisville, ABC KOLO-8 in Reno, Nevada, and channel 72 Lengthy Island Cablevision.
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Saturday, Aug. 9
Prime turf horses take middle stage this Saturday as most of the nation’s greatest older grass runners take to the observe inside 10 minutes of one another in both the Grade 1 Resorts World On line casino Sword Dancer Stakes going 1 ½ miles at Saratoga or the Grade 1 Arlington Million at going 1 ¼ miles at Colonial Downs. For this weekend’s winners, let’s take a more in-depth take a look at these two essential turf races and choose some winners on the grass. Get pleasure from the most effective turf stakes races the summer time has to supply. Better of luck.
Saratoga, Race 10, $750,000 Resorts World On line casino Sword Dancer Stakes, submit time 5:44 p.m. ET
The Sword Dancer is the highest turf race of the season for older horses at Saratoga, and it has drawn a top quality nine-horse subject set to go 1 ½ miles. #6 Far Bridge received the Sword Dancer a 12 months in the past and he’s come again higher than ever to this point this 12 months as a 5-year-old with wins that embrace final month’s Grade 2 Bowling Inexperienced Stakes at Saratoga. He’ll sit comfortably on or near the tempo with a tactical edge on the numerous closers entered on this subject. Coach Charlie Appleby is at all times harmful at Saratoga when he brings in horses from abroad and he has two entered within the Sword Dancer, #1 El Cordobes and #5 Nations Delight. Of that duo, the sturdy desire goes to Nations Delight, who has been a frequent North American invader all through his profession and nearly at all times hit the board (at shorter distances) in these top-level races. El Cordobes, in the meantime, comes off a win in a four-horse subject and has credentials which can be far much less convincing. The entrant on this subject who might hit the board at a worth is #2 Insurgent Purple, who should rebound from a disappointing loss final day trip however could be harmful if capable of repeat the trouble from his win two races in the past at Churchill Downs within the $170,000 Chorleywood Stakes, which he received going away after making a powerful closing transfer behind a gradual tempo.
The Play: Guess on #6 Far Bridge (9-5) to win and play him in exacta and trifecta packing containers with #2 Insurgent Purple (8-1) and #5 Nations Delight (3-1).
Colonial Downs, Race 11, $1,000,000 Arlington Million Stakes, submit time 5:54 p.m. ET
Saturday’s featured race at Colonial Downs, the Grade 1 Arlington Million going 1 ¼ miles, drew a subject of eight. The large title within the subject is 2024 Kentucky Derby winner #1 Mystik Dan, who might be making his grass debut. Is he even actually a turf horse? Coach Ken McPeek mentioned he referred to as “an audible” and prevented a harder spot similar to final weekend’s Whitney Stakes on the grime in an effort to face extra “modest” firm on this race as an alternative – not precisely a vote of confidence as a really probably underlay within the betting. One other of the contenders who seems to be questionable, a minimum of to win, is #5 Cairo. He invades from abroad and is and not using a win since 2023. He enters the race off a third-place end in a Group 1 race at Royal Ascot, and he involves America searching for agency turf so take note of the course situations and embrace him beneath in exactas and trifectas below preferrred situations. Coach Shug McGaughey has entered two horses within the Million and it might come all the way down to which ones is best between #6 Fort Washington and #8 Integration. Fort Washington is a a number of Grade 3 stakes winner who put collectively back-to-back wins earlier this 12 months however could come-up a bit of quick at this degree. The horse to beat is Integration, a Colonial Downs “horse for course” who received twice on this turf course to start his profession in 2023, together with his maiden win and a victory within the Virginia Derby. He returned final 12 months to win Colonial’s Million Preview Stakes en path to a second-place end within the 2024 Arlington Million. Integration’s most up-to-date race was an in depth second by a head in a key stakes within the Grade 1 Resorts World On line casino Manhattan Stakes, the place he misplaced to next-out Grade 1 FanDuel Fourstardave Stakes winner Deterministic whereas a neck forward of third-place finisher Far Bridge, who has since come again to win the Bowling Inexperienced Stakes and is favored within the Sword Dancer Stakes.
The Play: Guess on #8 Integration (8-5) to win and key him in first in exactas and trifectas above #5 Cairo (7-2) and #6 Fort Washington (4-1).
